Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 22, 25, 3:38 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if a canon game story expansion OR a canon game story prequel/sequel to Dispatch is released after market creation, and before 2027.
- Otherwise, NO.
- "Canon" is defined as something made by the game studio and not a fan-made mod.
- Update 2025-12-26 (PST) (✅ Market Creator approved AI summary of creator comment): A game by the same studio with similar mechanics but set in a different universe or intellectual property will count as YES for resolution purposes.
- Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (✅ Market Creator approved AI summary of creator comment): A small cutscene alone is not sufficient for YES resolution.
- At minimum, a character arc is required.