Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 98.3%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 5, 23, 11:52 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.