Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 63.8%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 24, 6:09 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Leonardo Di Caprio get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
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KalshiPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-7.5pt72%
- 940 - 950m+6.0pt25%
- <940m-0.6pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2597%
- Above 3069%
- Above 3261%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $76.8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.2pt40%
- No Bond chosen-0.6pt21%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt12%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+3.0pt45%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt24%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+25.0pt99%
- Above 50+33.0pt97%
- Above 55+48.0pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.9K
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
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- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030? resolve?
- Will Clint Eastwood get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.