Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 5:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week?
Manifold MarketsMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketHawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
KalshiRules
Calvin Wang is an MIT undergrad in the class of 2030.
- The course is known as Autobiography and Society, and class is in person.
- It is known that Calvin goes to bed around 4am ET.
- It is also known that Calvin has fallen asleep in class at least once.
- It is also known that he has showed up late on average once every week, including each of the past three classes.
- The market resolves YES if and only if Calvin is physically present in the room at 1:05:00 PM on Wednesday, October 21.