Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (84.7%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 2:33 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- Target Event: Bitcoin (BTC) price reaches $80,000.00 USD or higher at any point on August 30, 2026.
- Resolution Source: This market will resolve based on the daily "High" price of Bitcoin (BTC) for the August 30, 2026 UTC calendar day (00:00 to 23:59 UTC), as recorded on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap.
- Fallback Source: If these aggregators are down or present conflicting data, the daily high on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance (using UTC timezone candles) will serve as the final source of truth.
- Evaluation Rule: If the price is verified to have touched or exceeded $80,000.00 USD at least once on August 30, 2026 (UTC), this market resolves to YES.
- If BTC remains strictly below $80,000.00 USD for the entirety of the day, it resolves to NO.