Current community forecast
No 80.3%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 15, 22, 3:55 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Funding prediction market platforms such as Manifold does not count.
- I'm referring to putting money into specific markets, like "provide large subsidies for markets on charity impact to increase the accuracy of their results", or "bet YES on AI doomsday markets to convince people it's a risk worth taking seriously".
- I will also include a grant from an EA-aligned organization to try it out and see whether this is a good use of money.
