Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 69%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleMar 26, 23, 1:08 AM UTCJan 1, 39, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
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KalshiRules
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
- Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions.
- (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
