Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (87.7%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 12:14 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 5:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWill Anduril release a product or service with a name that references Smash Bros by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
KalshiRules
Any product counts, even if it's just a simple cloth
- Primary resolution source is Apple themselves, with a secondary source of news outlets