Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 71.2%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 12, 24, 4:35 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
📻Which artists on the Billboard Hot 100 Singles (2023) will have a song make the list in 5 years?
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Kalshi#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 3, 2026?
KalshiRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billboard_Global_200
- Being on the list for any length of time counts.
- (Unless it was a mistake that was later corrected.)
- The song must be written and performed entirely by AI.
- No human editing, all the singing and instruments must be AI.
- (A human can have provided suggestions in the prompt, but can't have provided the entire lyrics.)
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIResident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 94+11.0pt99%
- Above 9099%
- Above 9399%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $769.7K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-5.0pt47%
- The Black Ball+16.0pt32%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt11%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Why Did I Get Married Again?+15.0pt38%
- The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist1%
- The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare1%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $176.6K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7099%
- Above 5099%
- Above 6599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $448.4K
- 24h Vol
- $78K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 60-70M+39.0pt69%
- 70-80M-32.0pt27%
- 50-60M-0.6pt2%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Rick Devens-2.0pt35.7%
- Dee Valladares-1.0pt25.9%
- Drew Campbell13.4%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029? resolve?
- Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.
- How is Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billboard_Global_200