Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.7%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 25, 2:29 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 2:28 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.