Current community forecast
Yes 67.9%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 9, 26, 10:41 AM UTCDec 31, 51, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Rapid failure (like the Soviet Venus landers) would count against the "permanent" requirement in the rover definition
- Preponderance of media coverage can be used to distinguish a "crash landing" from a successful "landing" if ambiguous