Current community forecast
Yes 67.9%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 26, 10:41 AM UTCDec 31, 51, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Rapid failure (like the Soviet Venus landers) would count against the "permanent" requirement in the rover definition
- Preponderance of media coverage can be used to distinguish a "crash landing" from a successful "landing" if ambiguous
Open markets
Tech
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+3 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? resolve?
- Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2051.
- How is Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.