Current community forecast
Yes 62%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 9, 25, 11:20 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple Inc., proposed "The Coffee Test" as a benchmark for evaluating the capabilities of autonomous robots.
- The test requires a robot to enter an unfamiliar house, find the kitchen, identify the necessary tools and ingredients, and then prepare a cup of coffee.
- The Coffee Test challenges a robot's ability to navigate unknown environments, recognize objects, manipulate tools and materials, and follow a sequence of tasks to achieve a specific goal.
- While there have been significant advancements in robotics, no robot has yet passed The Coffee Test.
- Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" within a specific time frame before January 1st, 2029?
- Resolution criteria:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029? resolve?
- Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple Inc., proposed "The Coffee Test" as a benchmark for evaluating the capabilities of autonomous robots.