Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53.7% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison? resolve?

Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2044.

How is Will a political group in El Salvador significant in the next 20 years be founded by inmates of the megaprison? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://www.youtube.com/embed/ngC3Y4SubdM)

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POLYMARKET

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

• PCN-2.0pt36%
• PDC-1.0pt16%
• Vamos-6.5pt8%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$8.1K

24h Vol

$220.6

POLYMARKET

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

• ARENA31%
• PCN28%
• Vamos19%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$12.5K

POLYMARKET

El Salvador Legislative Election Winner

• Nuevas Ideas (NI)93.1%
• FMLN1%
• FPS1%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.4K

POLYMARKET

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by which date?

• December 31, 2026-1.0pt16%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$85.2K

24h Vol

—

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

• No73%
• Yes27%

Total Vol

$400K

24h Vol

—

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Bitcoin "Volcano Bonds" from El Salvador be issued by 2030?

• No71.9%
• Yes28.1%

Total Vol

$60

24h Vol

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