Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards?
EntertainmentOne-Off4mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 8, 26, 7:46 AM UTCMar 14, 27, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market asks whether a film containing AI-generated video will win at least one Academy Award at the 2027 Oscars. “AI-generated video” means footage or visual sequences substantially created or altered using generative AI video models, rather than ordinary CGI, visual effects, upscaling, or conventional digital editing.
- The market resolves YES if a qualifying film wins at least one Oscar at the 99th Academy Awards on March 14, 2027.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- The determination will be based on publicly available information about the winning film and whether generative AI was used to create or substantially alter video footage.
- The 2027 Oscars are scheduled for March 14, 2027, at 7 p.m. ET.
- For reference, see the official Oscars website.