When will there be a 90+ minute AI-generated video that humans will pay to see?

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Current community forecast

During 2026 (2026-01-01T00:00Z <= time < 2027-01-01T00:00Z) 72.3%

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multiple choice

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Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Dec 12, 22, 6:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Another way of putting it: "When will the first completely AI-made feature-length movie be released?"

This question resolves when there is an experience that includes motion video that is:
That has the script (if any) written by an AI
An AI produces all images and sound without cameras, microphones, or actors
The images, script, and sound are all of a quality similar to or better than a 2022 Hollywood movie with a budget of more than $100,000,000.
(If there is a dispute, this can be resolved by a majority of humans on a 100-human random survey saying the experience has that quality.)

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