Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 86%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 19, 24, 11:01 AM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill 50K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if at least 100 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2031.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-e5827a19aecb
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-8b5c5fb5bd63
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-9dad526dc238
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-dfdcca40f9e1
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031? resolve?
- Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2031.
- How is Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if at least 100 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2031.