Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastCindy Holscher 69.6%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 11:16 PMAug 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ethan Corson26%
Compare venues· Cindy Holscher
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall89% match · auto | Medium | 78% | — | $305.5 | $9.8K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 70% | — | — | — | 3 hours ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
0.5 pts6d
77.2%
-0.5pt22.8%
0%
+27 more outcomes
69 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$71.5K
24h Vol$305.5
POLYMARKETRules
2026 Kansas gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$25Jul 92d of dataJul 10
Related Markets
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
$2.6MJuly 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$948.7KRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
$790.5KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$694.9KJames Fishback: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$469.2KJon Ossoff: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ohio Governor winner?
$395.5KVivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsRules
2026 Kansas gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]