Current community forecast
Caleb Williams 32.6%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 16, 26, 7:22 AM UTCFeb 17, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the Associated Press NFL MVP award, voted on by a panel of 50 sportswriters at the end of the regular season.
- The first QB from the 2024 draft class to win this award wins the market.
- If none of the four named QBs win MVP before the 2035 season, the "the named outcome" option resolves yes.
- The award has been overwhelmingly dominated by quarterbacks, with 50 of 54 undisputed winners playing the position.
- Six quarterbacks were selected in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft—the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Michael Penix Jr., J.J. McCarthy, and the named outcome.
