Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastzsharpminor(udo) 99%+4.6ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+49.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 5:18 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 5:16 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
which non-flagship horizons hack club event will get the most attendees?
Manifold MarketsWill I attend Citadel (a Hack Club hackathon)?
Manifold MarketsWho will get an In Person Hack Club Summer Internship in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
KalshiRules
specifically the ones mentioned here: https://hackclub.slack.com/archives/C073MRW7KBK/p1789570503542239
- 'twas too lazy to put all the names, feel free to add some of your own
Open markets
Society & CultureKALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+4.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $22.2K
- 24h Vol
- $2.4K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-12.5pt61%
- Yes+12.5pt39%
- Total Vol
- $26.7K
- 24h Vol
- $1.7K
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+2.0pt9%
- Total Vol
- $12.4K
- 24h Vol
- $1.6K
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku33%
- Kira Freije31.1%
- Marguerite Humeau27.2%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.2K
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million90%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32.2K
- 24h Vol
- $175.3
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease-27.0pt42.1%
- No significant difference+2.0pt35.8%
- Significant increase+13.0pt22.1%
- Total Vol
- $58.8K
- Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
- Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for who be the new operations contributors at hack club??
- Manifold Markets prices zsharpminor(udo) at 99% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does who be the new operations contributors at hack club? resolve?
- who be the new operations contributors at hack club? is scheduled to resolve on October 16, 2026.
- How is who be the new operations contributors at hack club? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: specifically the ones mentioned here: https://hackclub.slack.com/archives/C073MRW7KBK/p1789570503542239