Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 4:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastChi (Clara) Xu (Wharton) 96.9%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 15, 25, 11:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolve YES if the Finance PhD candidate accepts a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at one of the 30 schools listed below as their first job-market placement after graduating from their PhD before the end of 2026.
- Resolve NO otherwise, including any of the following cases:
- The candidate accepts a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at a school not on the list.
- The candidate takes an industry position.
- The candidate accepts a post-doc position.
- The candidate does not go on the market this year (i.e., for employment starting Fall 2026).