Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 64.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 13, 25, 12:34 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 1:32 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JonTron release a video in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
As stated in the title, will resolve to the month or set of months that JonTron post the next video on the main channel.
- I will likely bet in this prediction as well.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which month will JonTron release his next video??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which month will JonTron release his next video? resolve?
- Which month will JonTron release his next video? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which month will JonTron release his next video? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As stated in the title, will resolve to the month or set of months that JonTron post the next video on the main channel.