Current community forecast
Starship 67.6%+12.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 24, 1:51 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The current record is 19 times by a the named outcome booster.
- I'm mostly interested in real reuse rather than elaborate refurbishment like the shuttle program.
- I'm not sure how to capture that clearly in the conditions though.
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-20-times-fir
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-25-times-fir
- @/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-30-times-fir
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which booster will fly 50 times first??
- Manifold Markets prices Starship at 68% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which booster will fly 50 times first? resolve?
- Which booster will fly 50 times first? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Which booster will fly 50 times first? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The current record is 19 times by a the named outcome booster.