Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Starship HLS 82.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Starship HLS 82.2%Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 25, 24, 11:49 PM UTCJan 2, 35, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What words will the 'name' of the first Human Landing System to land on the moon include?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Manifold MarketsWill a non-Chinese national land on the Moon as part of a Chinese mission before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
Independent resolution: it's possible that multiple answers resolve yes, or all resolve no.
- Derivative vehicles (under a different name but clearly in the same lineage) count towards the original answer.
