Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThere is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026 54.6%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 1:12 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be an official Manifest or Manifest x in NYC by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRules
Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th.
- Tickets available at: https://manifestxdc.github.io/
- But who will go next?
- Question will resolve to which city or region hosts the next Manifest X event by the end of 2026.
- If there are none, "the named outcome" will resolve yes.
- Pedantic quibbles:
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40-7.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $29.4K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane89%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Renoir84%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.3K
- 24h Vol
- $287.1
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC??
- Manifold Markets prices There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026 at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? resolve?
- Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th.