When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
TechOne-OffHealth & MedicineWeather
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBy January 2080 44%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 24, 23, 10:12 PM UTCOct 4, 50, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market is a derivative of the existing largest market about the laboratory release theory:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory)This is an unlinked market, where months can resolve independently.
- If the original market resolves YES, all future months resolve YES.
- If the original market resolves NO, all future months resolve NO.
- Otherwise, a month resolves NO if it arrives without the original market having resolved YES.
- I will add new months as old months expire, and can add more months by request.
