Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOct-Dec 2026 41.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.4 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 25, 10:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:26 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
PolymarketNCAA Football: San Diego State 2026 Win Total
PolymarketSan Diego pro baseball wins this season?
KalshiMo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWashington vs San Diego
KalshiWashington vs San Diego: Home Runs
KalshiRules
Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.
- If it's only available for a weekend, then gone again, that still counts.
- Even for just one evening.
- If the autonomy is ambiguous, that still counts.
- This question is much more lenient than some of those Austin Tesla questions.
- If the cars are COMPLETELY human-driven at first (unlikely), with humans in the drivers seats & operating the steering wheels, that won't count.
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets prices Oct-Dec 2026 at 41% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Waymo launch in San Diego? resolve?
- When will Waymo launch in San Diego? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is When will Waymo launch in San Diego? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.