Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2028 36.9%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 14, 24, 4:03 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon- be released for Windows?
Manifold MarketsWho will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRules
In 2021, concurrently with the release of Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon-, Type-Moon announced their planned release of Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- as the second half of the Tsukihime remake.
- They didn't announce any particular plans for release date or even release year.
- So let's try to figure the release year out ourselves, instead!
- This market is planned to resolve upon the next full release of a visual novel comprising part of the Tsukihime remake.
- (In any language; this is not gated on, for example, a release in English.) This applies even in the event that its name-at-release-time ends up being something other than 'Tsukihime -The other side of red garden-', even in the event the remake ends up being subdivided further such that the next release isn't the final one, et cetera.
- However, this does not apply to, for example, a demo; only a full VN-release, of comparable definitiveness to the Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon- release, will lead to market-resolution.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be released??
- Manifold Markets prices 2028 at 37% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be released? resolve?
- When will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be released? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is When will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be released? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In 2021, concurrently with the release of Tsukihime -A piece of blue glass moon-, Type-Moon announced their planned release of Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- as the second half of the Tsukihime remake.