KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Fred again.. 54%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 7, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any person be arrested in connection with protests at Mohan Bhagwat’s Madison Square Garden event?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MSG
- For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance.
- Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify.
- Festival appearances that include a live set qualify.
- The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.
- If Drake performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
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+2 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
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- $2.1M
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
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- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027??
- Kalshi prices Fred again.. at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? resolve?
- Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 7, 2028.
- How is Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.