What are the current odds for When will Season 3 of Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal be released??

Manifold Markets prices Before 2030 at 82.9% as of October 22, 2026.

When will Season 3 of Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal be released?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

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Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Before 2030 82.9%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Apr 27, 26, 1:26 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the date that the first episode of Season 3 of The Rehearsal is officially released on the Max streaming platform (formerly HBO Max).
The resolution date is defined as the day the first episode of the season becomes available to stream for HBO/Max subscribers.
Official confirmation from HBO, Max, or official trade publications (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline) will be used to determine the release date.
If the series is officially cancelled before a third season is released, this market will resolve to the date of that official cancellation announcement.
The Rehearsal, created by and starring Nathan Fielder, is a documentary-comedy series that explores complex human scenarios through elaborate, hyper-realistic simulations.