Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 42.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Other 42.4%Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 24, 12:18 AM UTCJan 21, 31, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves to the year when MrBeast's subscriber count on his channel page first shows 1 billion.
- Resolves to "Never" if YouTube no longer exists, upon the deletion of MrBeast's channel, or upon the death of James Stephen Donaldson (born 7 May 1998).
- The close date is not permanent; closing should be delayed until criteria are met.
- New options will be spun out of “Other” no less than two years before the year occurs.
- For example, if resolution has not been reached by January 2029, then "2031" should have already been made an option.
