Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJune 2027 6.6%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 28, 26, 12:34 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will happen in Deltarune Chapter 6?
Manifold MarketsWill Deltarune Chapter 6 have a hospital dark world?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Toby Fox release Deltarune Chapter 7 (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsTrails in the Sky 2nd Chapter: Metacritic score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Toby Fox says that "[w]e are aiming for a 2027 release" for Chapter 6
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When Will Deltarune Chapter 6 Release? (UTC)?
- Manifold Markets prices June 2027 at 7% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When Will Deltarune Chapter 6 Release? (UTC) resolve?
- When Will Deltarune Chapter 6 Release? (UTC) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is When Will Deltarune Chapter 6 Release? (UTC) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Toby Fox says that "[w]e are aiming for a 2027 release" for Chapter 6