What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built??

Manifold Markets prices 2030+ at 83.1% as of October 26, 2026.

When does What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built? resolve?

What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2040.

How is What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve N/A if less than 1,000,000 bots are made.

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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

• Seattle+10.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+14.0pt99.5%
• Denver+24.0pt99.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$454.2K

24h Vol

$412.4K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above99.5%
• $72,000 or above+2.0pt98%
• $71,000 or above98.5%

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt14.9%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.3pt15.6%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-1.4pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 26, 2026?

• 68° to 69°+37.0pt99.5%
• 70° to 71°-19.0pt0.5%
• 67° or below-15.0pt

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,250 or above99%
• $76,000 or above99.5%
• $76,750 or above98.5%

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 320-339+9.0pt24%
• 300-319+1.0pt19.2%
• 340-359+7.2pt18.3%

+27 more outcomes

• Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 26, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 26, 2026?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?
• BNB price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A
• Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
• Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 26, 2026?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?