Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2028 or later, or never 99%+10.8ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.8 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 28, 24, 1:28 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Earthblade, the upcoming game by EXOK (developers of Celeste), has been subject to delays; the developers no longer anticipate much chance of its coming out in 2024, and have, as of their latest newsletter as of the creation of this market, not put forward any new estimates of when it might come out.
- But when do we, Manifold, expect it to come out?
- Market will resolve to the year on which Earthblade is fully released to the public; early access, leaks, and suchlike won't count, if they come up.
