Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Sold/given to a park (17%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 2:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 4:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Lost
Lost
Lost
Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
KalshiWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRules
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/hamilton/marineland-beluga-new-home-solutions-9.6933460
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first outcome that affects a majority (15 or more) of the beluga whales currently housed at Marineland.
- Euthanized: Will resolve to "Yes" if a majority of the Marineland beluga whales are publicly confirmed to have been euthanized due to the park's inability to provide care or secure alternative placement, as reported by major Canadian news outlets (e.g., CBC, Global News, CTV News).
- This excludes individual euthanasias due to critical illness that may occur as part of standard veterinary care.
- the named outcome: Will resolve to "Yes" if a majority of the Marineland beluga whales are publicly confirmed to have been released into a natural ocean environment, as reported by major Canadian news outlets.