Current community forecast
1–15 games missed (minor disruption) 36.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 3, 26, 9:37 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- The critical deadline for potential game cancellations is early to mid-March 2027, when spring training must conclude to allow for a full regular season.
- Resolution will be determined by the number of regular-season games missed due to a lockout or player strike:
- 0 games missed: Full 162-game season is played
- 1–15 games missed: Minor disruption (games rescheduled or season shortened slightly)
- 16–60 games missed: Major disruption (significant portion of season affected)
