Current community forecast
1) Under 40k 19%-1.4%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
42
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleDec 13, 25, 6:43 AMJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1) Under 40k19%
Compare venues· 3) Under 60k
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall80% match · verified | High | 100% | — | $137.5K | $2.2M | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi83% match · verified | Medium | 10% | — | $44K | $6.3M | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| Kalshi80% match · linked | Medium | 13% | — | $6.7K | $1.1M | 29 minutes ago | Open → |
 Futuur72% match · linked | Low | 53% | — | $0 | $6.1K | 29 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets83% match · linked | — | 70% | — | — | — | 21 hours ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 17 hours ago | |
| Manifold Markets83% match · linked | — | 100% | — | — | — | 17 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
0.3%5mo
-3.3%10%
-0.5%10%
+0.1%9%
+25 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$29.2M
24h Vol$44K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Bitcoin price in 2026?
5mo
100%
100%
100%
+19 more outcomes
Community forecast77 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026
5mo
+0.5%70.2%
+0.2%12%
+0.2%11.6%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
1.0%5mo
+10.4%100%
+2.5%100%
+7.5%100%
+41 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$49.9M
24h Vol$137.5K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
5mo
13%
8%
-1.0%6%
+4 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$6.7K
KALSHIAlso available on Futuur
What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?
5mo
53%
28%
11%
+2 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1K
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Each option immediately resolves YES if Bitcoin's price goes over/under the given price at any point by the end of 2026 after market creation.
- (or the date given in each answer if there is any)
- Resolution source: TradingView: CRYPTO:BTCUSD, 1m candle high/low
- https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTO%3ABTCUSD
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$6.0k26.1%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yesbtc3333d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yesbtc3333d ago$4.4k57.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd5d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd5d ago$1.5k79.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Nodatamint5d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Nodatamint5d ago$3.8k95.5%KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No5d ago
KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No5d ago$4.6k95.5%KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No5d ago
KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No5d ago$1.0k93.7%KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — No5d ago
KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — No5d ago$1.7k68.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — No0x9e3e…f8826d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — No0x9e3e…f8826d ago$1.9k67.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd6d agoVolume trend
$21Jul 812d of dataJul 25
Related Cryptos
Related Markets
BTC price on Jul 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$568.6K$64,250 or above: 72%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bitcoin above ___ on July 26?
$478.4K56,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?
$363.1K↑ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$201.8K$64,000 or above: 61%KALSHI
KALSHI
How high will BTC get in July?
$72.2KAbove $67,500.00: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat price will Bitcoin hit July 20-26?
$71.5K↑ 66,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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Each option immediately resolves YES if Bitcoin's price goes over/under the given price at any point by the end of 2026 after market creation.
- (or the date given in each answer if there is any)
- Resolution source: TradingView: CRYPTO:BTCUSD, 1m candle high/low
- https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTO%3ABTCUSD