Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast$80K 100%Leader of 22 outcomes
Forecasters
77
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleJan 2, 26, 7:43 AMJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$150K4%
Compare venues· $80K
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | High | 13% | — | $38.9K | $6.3M | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| Kalshi80% match · linked | High | 15% | — | $9.7K | $1.1M | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketMost active80% match · linked | Medium | 100% | — | $81.8K | $2.2M | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
 Futuur72% match · linked | Low | 55% | — | $0 | $6.1K | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets88% match · linked | — | 70% | — | — | — | 2 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets83% match · linked | — | 100% | — | — | — | 2 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 2 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
0.2 pts5mo
+1.7pt12.6%
+1.1pt9.7%
-0.3pt9.7%
+25 more outcomes
89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$29.3M
24h Vol$38.9K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026
5mo
+0.5pt70.2%
+0.2pt12%
+0.2pt11.6%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
What will Bitcoin's price reach by the end of 2026? (Crypto BTC)
5mo
100%
100%
100%
+13 more outcomes
Community forecast42 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
7.0 pts5mo
+10.4pt100%
+2.5pt100%
+7.5pt100%
+41 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$50M
24h Vol$81.8K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
1.0 pts5mo
+1.0pt15%
-3.0pt7%
6%
+4 more outcomes
80 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$9.7K
KALSHIAlso available on Futuur
What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?
5mo
51.9%
26.4%
10.4%
+2 more outcomes
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1K
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds/below listed price in USD at any point in 2026, based on data from Coinbase.
- The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year.
- If Bitcoin does not hit listed price during 2026, the market resolves “No.”
- Primary source (API) Example:
- https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60
- Required URL parameters:
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.8k94.7%KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — Noyesterday
KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — Noyesterday$6.0k26.1%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yesbtc3334d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yesbtc3334d ago$4.4k57.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — NoJnStTrdrBnusFnd6d ago$1.5k79.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Nodatamint6d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Nodatamint6d ago$4.6k95.5%KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No7d ago
KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No7d ago$3.8k95.5%KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No7d ago
KALSHI35,000 to 39,999.99 — No7d ago$1.0k93.7%KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — No7d ago
KALSHI45,000 to 49,999.99 — No7d ago$1.7k68.0%POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — No0x9e3e…f8828d ago
POLYMARKETWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — No0x9e3e…f8828d agoVolume trend
$17Jul 813d of dataJul 25
Related Cryptos
Related Markets
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
$1.3M↑ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
BTC price on Jul 28, 2026 at 12am EDT?
$1.2M$63,300 or above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIBitcoin above ___ on July 28?
$823.1K60,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$596.4K$63,250 or above: 53%KALSHI
KALSHIBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$474K$65,000 or above: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 27?
$362.1K↓ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Metaplanet plans Bitcoin-backed bonds yielding up to 6%Crypto News
Bitcoin shrugs off AI selloff but high-stakes Fed meeting could determine what's nextCoindesk
Ether ETFs Pull $104M, Tripling Bitcoin's Weekly InflowsThe Defiant
Bitcoin Options Market Signals Complacency as Traders Drop Hedges Ahead of Fed DecisionBlockchain Reporter
TD Cowen cuts David Bailey’s Nakamoto target 58% after bitcoin outlook resetThe Block
Metaplanet’s brokerage deal ‘badly undersells’ plans for bitcoin-backed ‘Bitbonds,’ Benchmark saysThe BlockRules
The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds/below listed price in USD at any point in 2026, based on data from Coinbase.
- The price must be reflected as the high/low price in any 1-minute candlestick during the year.
- If Bitcoin does not hit listed price during 2026, the market resolves “No.”
- Primary source (API) Example:
- https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles?start=2026-02-05T22:00:00Z&end=2026-02-06T02:00:00Z&granularity=60
- Required URL parameters: