Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastEnds within 10 years of release of first episode 85.2%Leader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 25, 6:44 PM UTCJul 20, 38, 6:33 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
Manifold MarketsWill the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHarry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWho will play Voldemort in the new Harry Potter?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency?
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KalshiRules
Feel free to add answers that are broadly about the series as a whole.
- Inspired by the market about season 1: https://manifold.markets/jim/what-will-be-true-of-the-new-harry#RSO5Rz2pStdz.
- If you have season 1 thoughts, check over there.
- Closing date will be extended in the future if necessary.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be true of the new Harry Potter reboot series (all seasons)??
- Manifold Markets prices Ends within 10 years of release of first episode at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be true of the new Harry Potter reboot series (all seasons)? resolve?
- What will be true of the new Harry Potter reboot series (all seasons)? is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2038.
- How is What will be true of the new Harry Potter reboot series (all seasons)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Feel free to add answers that are broadly about the series as a whole.