Current community forecast
Other 66.3%-15.4ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+41.3 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 26, 11:58 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the first successful soft landing of a spacecraft on Mercury happen?
Manifold MarketsDark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Moon landing occur?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRules
List of planetary-mass objects that have already had spacecraft soft landings:
- Earth, I guess
- The Moon (Luna 9, 1966)
- Venus (Venera 7, 1970)
- Mars (Mars 3, 1971)
- Titan (Huygens, 2005)
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,750 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $83,700 or above99%
- $83,400 or above99%
- $83,500 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $667.3K
- 24h Vol
- $498.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above+6.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $260.3K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+28.0pt95%
- 65-89-10.0pt5%
- <40-34.5pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+12.0pt47.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt41.6%
- 220-239-9.0pt6.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which will be the next planetary-mass object to have its first ever spacecraft soft landing??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 66% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which will be the next planetary-mass object to have its first ever spacecraft soft landing? resolve?
- Which will be the next planetary-mass object to have its first ever spacecraft soft landing? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is Which will be the next planetary-mass object to have its first ever spacecraft soft landing? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: List of planetary-mass objects that have already had spacecraft soft landings: