Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSpark Pylon (Ruined Kingdom) 61.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 6:54 AM UTCOct 14, 27, 5:54 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
When this Market was created, in the Minimum Captures run in Super Mario Odyssey, there were 3 captures needed to beat the game.
- What will be the next one where a method of beating the game without it will be discovered?
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the next capture to be skipped in Super Mario Odyssey Minimum Captures??
- Manifold Markets prices Spark Pylon (Ruined Kingdom) at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be the next capture to be skipped in Super Mario Odyssey Minimum Captures? resolve?
- What will be the next capture to be skipped in Super Mario Odyssey Minimum Captures? is scheduled to resolve on October 14, 2027.
- How is What will be the next capture to be skipped in Super Mario Odyssey Minimum Captures? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When this Market was created, in the Minimum Captures run in Super Mario Odyssey, there were 3 captures needed to beat the game.