Current community forecast
Yes 70.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 1:41 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the next capture to be skipped in Super Mario Odyssey Minimum Captures?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC, any player completes a solo (1 Player) Any% speedrun of Super Mario Odyssey in a verified time of under 55 minutes (54:59.999 or faster), according to the official leaderboards on speedrun.com/smo.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definitions and Rules:
- This market tracks the 1 Player (Standard) Any% category on the official leaderboard.
- Runs in categories designated as 2 Player (even if performed by a single runner using feet/two controllers), Tool-Assisted (TAS), or other distinct categories do not qualify.
