Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)
One-OffEsports1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 90.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 24, 8:53 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h34m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h33mXXs)
Manifold MarketsWho will be first to perform a perfect Super Mario Bros. 1 speedrun?
Manifold MarketsWho will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?
Manifold MarketsRules
As of Dec 2023 the world record is 1h36m48s held by Karin.
- Info: https://www.speedrun.com/sm64
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs) resolve?
- Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs) is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As of Dec 2023 the world record is 1h36m48s held by Karin.