Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (62.6%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 12:52 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 5:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Cygames or event organizers officially announce the cancellation of either or both scheduled dates (October 22–23, 2026) of the Umamusume: Pretty Derby – 7th EVENT WORLD TOUR: THE STAGE in LOS ANGELES at the Peacock Theater, or if the live performances fail to take place as scheduled due to visa or operational issues.
- This market resolves to NO if the event goes ahead as scheduled on October 22–23, 2026 (even if modified, such as with a reduced or altered cast lineup).
- Resolution details:
- An announcement of outright cancellation or indefinite postponement without rescheduled dates during the original October 22–23 timeframe will resolve to YES.
- Postponing the event to a future date outside the October 22–23, 2026 window resolves to YES.