Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030?
TechOne-OffEntertainment3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 26, 12:39 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2030, Cygames officially releases a playable (trainable) character in the mobile game Umamusume: Pretty Derby that is based on a real-life racehorse whose racing career was primarily based in the United States.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Playable Character: Defined as a character added to the trainable roster (obtainable as a 1★, 2★, or 3★ trainee from the Pretty Derby Gacha) in either the Japanese or official Global versions of the mobile game.
- NPCs, support-card-only characters, or characters appearing exclusively in anime/manga do not qualify until they are playable/trainable in the game.
- Primarily based in the United States: The real-life horse must have run the majority of its career starts in the U.S., or spent its primary racing career there (e.g., winning major U.S. races like the Triple Crown or Breeders' Cup).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030? resolve?
- Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria