What are the current odds for UK Autumn Budget 2026: will CGT rates be fully aligned with income tax rates??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.9% as of October 12, 2026.

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will CGT rates be fully aligned with income tax rates?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Sep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

YES only if the announced main CGT rates equal the income tax rates (20%, 40%, 45%) from some announced start date.

Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
The creator may trade in this market.