Current community forecast
No 81%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 26, 4:01 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a humanoid robot walk on the moon before an animal does
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a Tesla robot physically walks on the lunar surface at any point during 2028.
- Resolution requires:
- Confirmation from NASA, SpaceX, or Tesla official sources that a Tesla robot unit was transported to the Moon
- Video or photographic evidence showing the robot walking (not rolling, being carried, or stationary) on the lunar surface
- The walking must occur during calendar year 2028