Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 71.8%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 26, 25, 11:42 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift endorse the Democratic candidate again in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)
KalshiTaylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?
PolymarketRules
Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.
- Leaks and rumors don't count, but it's still an announcement even if it's not a surprise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcing a pregnancy via surrogacy does NOT count for resolution.