Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 17, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 2:07 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Volume trend
$622Jul 162d of dataJul 17
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