Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 1.5%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 1, 24, 11:42 PMJul 1, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Related Markets
Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026
$1.3KYes: 2.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
$73.4Yes: 23.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
$50Yes: 11%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETRussian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026
$558.8Yes: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)
$362.5Border: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
$0Yes: 19%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran; Polymarket lifts Dec. 31 nuclear deal odds to 54%Blockchain.News
US strikes in Iran shift Polymarket travel bets, Trump down to 15%Blockchain.News
Trump alleges Iran Hormuz breach as Polymarket puts Jul 31 talks at 72%Blockchain.News
UAE-Iran security call lifts Polymarket 'normal Hormuz traffic' odds to 33.5%Blockchain.News
POW swap lifts Polymarket odds of Ukraine retaking Crimea to 14.5% by 2026Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.