Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 6, 2026, 10:14 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 68.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 50 days ago
StaleNov 29, 25, 2:57 PMDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes31%
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.